Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.045379 0.052853 0.061166 0.071096 0.082638 0.095633 0.111380
2025-11-09 0.032533 0.041940 0.053494 0.068729 0.088300 0.112617 0.145166
2025-11-16 0.025711 0.035857 0.049311 0.068462 0.095047 0.130696 0.182232
2025-11-23 0.021045 0.031312 0.045816 0.067803 0.100337 0.146789 0.218340
2025-11-30 0.018198 0.028631 0.044195 0.069107 0.108054 0.166755 0.262259
2025-12-07 0.015552 0.025716 0.041631 0.068371 0.112276 0.181716 0.300340
2025-12-14 0.013234 0.022898 0.038712 0.066479 0.114151 0.192926 0.333606
2025-12-21 0.011360 0.020493 0.036063 0.064537 0.115478 0.203135 0.366227
2025-12-28 0.010331 0.019379 0.035400 0.065837 0.122425 0.223548 0.419038
2026-01-04 0.009315 0.018128 0.034302 0.066150 0.127544 0.241227 0.469068
2026-01-11 0.008423 0.016974 0.033208 0.066277 0.132252 0.258604 0.520640
2026-01-18 0.007755 0.016154 0.032625 0.067278 0.138712 0.279978 0.582641
2026-01-25 0.007245 0.015600 0.032519 0.069283 0.147575 0.307434 0.661226
2026-02-01 0.006375 0.014176 0.030473 0.067013 0.147333 0.316508 0.702915
2026-02-08 0.005798 0.013297 0.029446 0.066762 0.151331 0.334867 0.767025
2026-02-15 0.005259 0.012427 0.028317 0.066121 0.154356 0.351457 0.829368
2026-02-22 0.004924 0.011976 0.028053 0.067393 0.161857 0.378831 0.920030
2026-03-01 0.004487 0.011222 0.027001 0.066676 0.164600 0.395675 0.988070
2026-03-08 0.004028 0.010352 0.025561 0.064830 0.164376 0.405509 1.040369
2026-03-15 0.003619 0.009547 0.024178 0.062936 0.163771 0.414322 1.091277
2026-03-22 0.003423 0.009266 0.024049 0.064204 0.171345 0.444236 1.200359
2026-03-29 0.003195 0.008869 0.023575 0.064509 0.176451 0.468538 1.297973
2026-04-05 0.002979 0.008474 0.023059 0.064634 0.181092 0.492209 1.397127